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feature
Dolphins Live Home Dog
by Chad Wilson
22 September, 2005

It seems that the Irish luck has run out three weeks into the season. The green of Michigan St. is not a color that has been good to Notre Dame in recent years under any coach. Florida St. and Florida flexed their muscles in their big matchups as did the Miami Hurricanes but they need overtime to get their point across. In the pros, Donovan McNabb and Terrell Owens maintained their “professional” relationship to the chagrin of the rest of the league. The duo hooked up for two touchdowns in Philadelphia 's 42-3 rout of the 49ers. Brett Favre and the Packers start the season off 0-2 and for the first time in NFL history, both the Packers and Vikings have started off the season 0-2. It will be interesting to see what the end result of that occurrence will be. This week, I am going to the college ranks to find one winner and I have a pair of solid ones from the NFL.

Last week's record in Winner's Edge paper: 2-1

Season Record: 4-2 ATS

NCAA :
BYU (-3.5) over TCU What do we know about the TCU Horned Frogs. At this point, they are one of the hard teams to figure out. They go out in week one and beat the Oklahoma Sooners in one of the great upsets. Then they can't get it done versus SMU. Last week, they went on national television and took out the Utah Utes ending their long winning streak. I have seen this situation many a time and what typically happens is that the team the pulls the upset goes out the next week and plays like a chump. TCU has already experience that this year and history has a way of repeating itself. I expect TCU to be somewhat flat in this contest while BYU sees a big opportunity here. The Cougars have already suffered a loss this season and are not looking to fall under .500 and lose their first two home games of the season. Expect the Cougars to be very prepared and quite intense as they look to take out the team with two big upsets under their belt this season.
Take BYU

NFL:
Tennessee (+6.5) over St. Louis

Oddsmakers are treating Tennessee 's win over Baltimore last week as a fluke, but I don't think that it is. Tennessee pulled themselves together after the Week 1 set back versus what appears to be a very strong Pittsburgh team. The Titans held the Ravens to less than 50 yards rushing in their 25-10 win. Need I remind you that Jamal Lewis plays for the Baltimore Ravens? This was no small feat by the Titans and thus should be given more respect than they are getting from the linesmaker here.

St. Louis has done little to impress me two games into this season. They were handled by the 49ers in their opener and struggled to get a win over the Cardinals in week two. After back-to-back games out West, St. Louis may be a bit out of whack when they return home and they will also be a bit complacent after getting the win last week. Tennessee comes into this game feeling like they have something to prove. Besides, the Titans still hold that grudge against St. Louis since they came up one yard short in the Super Bowl.
Take Tennessee .

NFL:
Miami (+3.5) over Carolina

The Dolphins aren't going to be a team that gets much respect in the early part of this season. However, the lack of respect allows them to have some value and we should take advantage. Off the loss to the Jets last week, I think the Dolphins carry some good value as a home dog in this situation. Over the last six season, Miami is 5-2 ATS the week after losing to the Jets. Miami played a solid game defensively after putting up a good defensive effort in Week 1 versus the Broncos. When you are playing good defense in the NFL, you are a good value as an underdog, especially at home.

Carolina is co ming off of a big win over the defending World Champs. I am willing to bet that the numbers are not good for teams the week after beating last week's Super Bowl champ. With Carolina being in that situation this week and having the burden of being a road favorite, I think it to be in our best interest to go against them here. The Panthers' defense has underachieved thus far on the season and that makes them a poor choice in this matchup.
Take the Dolphins.

That's how I see them this week. We are still within the first three week period of the football season, so I recommend all wagers to continue to remain light. Let's feel these teams out and see what they have before we put our foot firmly on the pedal.

See you next week with your pockets a little heavier.

You can visit Chad at www.sportslynx.com

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