"You can win cash for cars, vacations and more every month, betting as
little as $1 or $2 per hand." As far as pitches go that one is pretty
direct and to the point.
So the question I asked myself when I looked at this book is "what is this
guy selling?" And in a nutshell it boils down to this: Blackjack basic
strategy + betting rules + money management = the best chance of success.
Following his simple approach author Dennis Spivak believes that the player can
predictably and consistently win. "Let me tell you," he says, "it's
utopia on the internet."
Okay, hyperbole aside, his basic advice is pretty sound. Savvy players on
and off the internet know that Blackjack is one of the few casino games
where skilled players can minimize their loss expectation. And money
management is essential to any player's game strategy. As to the betting
rules ... well let's have a look at the book first.
After a long and somewhat repetitious introduction and preamble the meat
of Spivak's text, his Chart, appears on page 34. It is a novel reworking
of a standard Basic Strategy chart for a Multiple Deck game. What he adds
to the mix is a lot of arm-twisting.
"When you stop thinking and start referring to the Chart ... you'll play a
more relaxed, fundamentally sound game" he says, and "Never play hunches
... Believe in the Chart". For emphasis he adds the old saw "ours is not
to reason why, ours is just to do or die." Okay, okay, we're getting the
point: Chart good, everything else bad. Fair enough, let's move on.
After some excellent suggestions about which Blackjack games to play
--namely those where the dealer Stands on any 17 and where Double is
permitted after a Split-- we're introduced to his betting strategies in
Part IV.
Spivak presents a structured approach to betting that is based on (a) an
"Opening Bet", say $1 or $2, and that all subsequent bets are derived from
it and (b) his stated goal which is to "minimize losses and conserve
wins". So far so good.
However, it's in the details that I start to lose Mr. Spivak. For
instance, assuming your Opening Bet was $2, he says "always log off once
you are up by $2". Say what? Sure enough, the details of his
"Conservative" and "Traditional" betting strategies repeat and make a
specific point of this.
In attempting to make sense of this advice I think I've gleaned the
following: By "log off" Spivak means just that. Once you've logged off it's apparently fine to log right back on again.
In his words "log on and off frequently." You're supposed to ensure that
when you do log back on you're not "in
the same spot where you previously left off". It's better to play games
that assign you a random number as
identification because then you know that the game hasn't identified you
as the same person you were in the previous game.
As far as I can tell what Spivak is saying is that it makes some
difference to your final results whether the game software knows what
you've won before within a given play session. To that I can only say
this: if your results in a given hand are effected by hands you've already
played they you're playing a rigged game, plain and simple. Furthermore,
if the casino wants to cheat you, logging off and on again isn't going to
make a big difference.
One could interject here that a hand's results could be effected by the
remaining cards in the shoe but Spivak himself makes reference to "the
shuffle factor" meaning the programmed rule that online Blackjack decks
are effectively reshuffled after each hand. He quite rightly points to
this as the fact that renders card-counting at online Blackjack pointless.
Spivak's advice regarding log-offs baffles me because elsewhere he states
that at "virtually every online casino they [the games] are programmed to
be fair and ... ultimately will be truly random." I agree, but how then
can logging off and then back on in any way effect a player's results?
Either the games are fair or not.
Since further explanation of this log-on-log-off betting approach is not
given we'll leave the subject as it stands. Needless to say I am soundly
unconvinced.
The section concludes with some good advice on money management,
specifically on establishing your bankroll. Simply put he advocates that
the player have 50-times their Opening Bet in the pocket when they begin
play. This is well within the common advice on this point widely given
elsewhere.
There are other tidbits of advice that Spivak gives that I find puzzling
though perhaps less troubling than the log-offs. Regarding Surrender, for
instance, he says "I don't like the option and I never consider it ...."
Okay, that may be his preference but game analysis has shown that
Surrender can give the player a slight edge so why disregard it so out of
hand especially since, as he so often repeats throughout the text, "it's
all about winning".
Around the middle of the book Spivak offers some math explaining how
you'll win 80% of the time and so on but ... well, you decide for
yourself. I've tried their Chart and their betting strategy and I sure as
hell didn't win 80% of the time. More like 1/2 that but perhaps my
problem is that, as they warn, "until you totally accept the concepts ...
you may very well lose money." So far he's right about that.
The books wraps up with a 58 point summary including the mantra "Follow the
Chart". Right, we're with you on that point. Finally there come a number
of quotes offered by Chip the Cow, "team mascot, lucky charm, four leaf
clover, and wheel of fortune all wrapped into one loveable bovine". These
pearls appear under the heading "Chip Sez".
Okay, well at this point Max
Sez: I'm outta here!